Russia, Ukraine, and the US agree on black sea ceasefire after Saudi talks

 March 26, 2025

President Donald Trump's administration spearheaded talks between Russia and Ukraine, resulting in a potential ceasefire agreement for the Black Sea region.

According to Fox News, delegations from both nations reached an agreement during negotiations in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, though Russia's implementation appears contingent on its readmission to the SWIFT banking system.

The White House announced that all parties committed to ensuring safe navigation and preventing the use of commercial vessels for military purposes in the Black Sea. Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov, who led his country's delegation, confirmed the agreement while emphasizing that any Russian military vessel movement outside the eastern Black Sea would constitute a violation.

Russian conditions threaten ceasefire implementation

The Kremlin has introduced significant conditions that could delay or prevent the full implementation of the agreement. Russia demands reinstatement into the SWIFT international banking system and removal of sanctions on its agricultural bank, Rosselkhozbank, before proceeding with the ceasefire.

Western sanctions have severely impacted Russia's ability to conduct international transactions since the conflict began. The Kremlin seeks the lifting of restrictions on food and fertilizer exports, insurance firms, vessels, and trade finance operations.

The White House's response focused on facilitating Russia's agricultural and fertilizer exports through improved access to ports, payment systems, and reduced maritime insurance costs. However, they made no direct reference to Russia's SWIFT-related demands.

Complex negotiations between multiple stakeholders

The ceasefire discussions involved multiple rounds of communication between President Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. These talks resulted in additional agreements regarding energy infrastructure.

Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov stated:

All movement by Russia of its military vessels outside of eastern part of the Black Sea will constitute violation of the spirit of this agreement, will be regarded as violation of the commitment to ensure safe navigation of the Black Sea and threat to the national security of Ukraine. In this case, Ukraine will have full right to exercise right to self-defense.

The White House revealed their commitment to developing implementation measures for the agreements reached during presidential phone calls last week, particularly concerning the ban on strikes against energy facilities.

International banking system holds key to progress

The involvement of multiple international entities complicates the path forward. SWIFT's oversight involves the central banks of the G-10 nations, the European Central Bank, and the National Bank of Belgium as lead overseer.

These institutional arrangements mean that the United States alone cannot fulfill Russia's demands regarding SWIFT access. The requirement for multilateral cooperation adds another layer of complexity to the ceasefire's implementation.

The Trump administration maintains its focus on broader peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, viewing the Black Sea agreement as a stepping stone toward comprehensive conflict resolution.

Moving forward amid uncertainty

Russia and Ukraine's agreement to cease hostilities in the Black Sea region represents a significant diplomatic achievement for the Trump administration, though its implementation faces substantial challenges. The Kremlin's demands for SWIFT access and sanctions relief have introduced additional complexity to the peace process. The success of this agreement hinges on complex negotiations involving multiple international stakeholders, particularly regarding Russia's reintegration into global financial systems. While the immediate focus remains on implementing the Black Sea ceasefire, the broader goal of achieving comprehensive peace between Russia and Ukraine continues to drive diplomatic efforts.

About Victor Winston

Victor is a freelance writer and researcher who focuses on national politics, geopolitics, and economics.
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