Former AOC chief of staff spends $10 million of his own money, fails to win a single precinct in San Francisco congressional race

 June 4, 2026 
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Saikat Chakrabarti, the tech millionaire and former chief of staff to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, poured $10 million of his own cash into a bid to succeed Nancy Pelosi in Congress, and came away without winning a single precinct in San Francisco's 11th congressional district.

The Associated Press projected that Democratic state senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan would advance to the November general election, leaving Chakrabarti on the outside looking in. As of Wednesday morning, with half the total votes counted, Wiener led at 41%, Chan held roughly 29%, and Chakrabarti sat at 15%.

The result is a stinging rejection, not just of one candidate, but of the broader theory that progressive celebrity, Silicon Valley money, and proximity to Ocasio-Cortez can substitute for actual roots in a community.

A $10 million bet on AOC's brand

Chakrabarti, a former executive at the payments company Stripe, heavily campaigned on his connection to Ocasio-Cortez, the New York Post reported. He leaned into his role as the architect of her 2018 upset and his brief, turbulent stint running her congressional office. That tenure ended after a public spat with congressional Democratic leadership, a fight that apparently left scars on both sides of the progressive-establishment divide.

But the AOC connection cut both ways. Ocasio-Cortez herself refused to endorse Chakrabarti in the race, a conspicuous silence that left his central campaign argument without its most important validator.

That refusal drew notice from Democratic operatives. Former Newsom campaign strategist Addisu Demissie publicly cheered Chakrabarti's loss on X, writing:

"Can I just say, AOC earned some real respect from me not endorsing this charlatan."

The word "charlatan" from a fellow Democrat, not a Republican opponent, captures the depth of skepticism Chakrabarti faced even within his own party. AOC's broader political trajectory has been a subject of intense speculation, with her 2028 presidential buzz running into political reality on multiple fronts. Her decision to keep her distance from Chakrabarti's campaign suggests even she understood the limits of the brand he was trying to borrow.

Pelosi's long shadow

Running for Nancy Pelosi's seat while taking shots at Nancy Pelosi is a bold strategy in San Francisco. Chakrabarti tried it anyway.

Pelosi, described as a San Francisco icon and power player, endorsed Connie Chan. Before the endorsement, polls had shown Chan slightly behind Chakrabarti in a battle for second place behind Wiener. Pelosi's backing appears to have reshuffled the race decisively in Chan's favor.

Pelosi had previously criticized Chakrabarti publicly, questioning whether he had genuine ties to San Francisco. Ian Krager, a spokesperson for Pelosi, offered a terse post-election comment: "You best not miss." The implication was unmistakable, Chakrabarti came for the queen of San Francisco Democratic politics and paid the price at the ballot box.

The dynamic is worth pausing on. Chakrabarti positioned himself as the most left-leaning candidate in the field, aligned with the progressive insurgent wing that has challenged establishment Democrats for years. Yet in one of the most liberal congressional districts in the country, that positioning earned him just 15% of the vote and zero precincts won.

Not a single precinct

The precinct-level shutout is the detail that elevates this from a routine primary loss to something more revealing. Candidates who spend $10 million typically find at least a pocket of support somewhere, a neighborhood, a demographic cluster, a handful of precincts where their message lands. Chakrabarti found none.

Results showed him trailing across the entire 11th congressional district. Not one precinct gave him a plurality. That level of uniform rejection suggests voters weren't just choosing between alternatives; they were actively passing on what Chakrabarti was selling.

The broader question of whether progressive celebrity translates into votes has been tested repeatedly in recent cycles. Recent polling has shown Kamala Harris holding a wide lead over AOC in hypothetical 2028 matchups, a sign that even within the Democratic electorate, the far-left lane may be narrower than its loudest advocates believe.

'This was expected'

At his election watch party Tuesday night, Chakrabarti thanked volunteers and projected calm. In a video posted to YouTube Shorts, he told supporters:

"I know that the numbers don't necessarily look great right now, but I don't want anybody to fret. This was expected."

If finishing at 15% with zero precincts won after spending $10 million was "expected," it raises the question of why the money was spent in the first place. As of Wednesday morning, Chakrabarti had not publicly conceded.

His campaign also featured an appearance with Hasan Piker, the left-wing streamer. In a district where voters were choosing a successor to one of the most powerful figures in modern Democratic politics, the decision to campaign alongside an internet personality rather than build coalitions with local leaders tells its own story.

What San Francisco actually chose

The November matchup will pit Wiener, the frontrunner state senator, against Chan, the Pelosi-backed supervisor. Both are Democrats. The race will be decided within the party, as is typical for San Francisco.

But the primary's real lesson lies in what it rejected. Chakrabarti offered national progressive branding, massive self-funding, and the reflected glow of AOC's celebrity. San Francisco voters, hardly a conservative electorate, chose local credentials and institutional endorsements instead.

AOC's own political standing has shown cracks elsewhere too. She was talked over by a crowd at a recent Bronx Eid celebration, a moment that went viral and suggested the congresswoman's reception is not always as warm as her social media following might imply.

Meanwhile, her national ambitions remain a subject of debate. She has claimed her ambition reaches "way bigger" than the presidency, a statement that invites more questions than it answers about where the progressive movement's most visible figure sees herself heading.

The limits of borrowed credibility

Chakrabarti's campaign tested a specific proposition: that a former aide to a famous progressive, armed with tech wealth and national media attention, could parachute into a district and claim a congressional seat on brand recognition alone. The voters of San Francisco answered clearly.

Pelosi's team understood the dynamic. Demissie, the Democratic strategist, understood it. Evidently, even Ocasio-Cortez understood it well enough to withhold her endorsement. The only person who didn't seem to grasp the situation was the candidate who wrote the $10 million check.

There is a pattern here that extends beyond one race. Progressive insurgents have discovered, cycle after cycle, that Twitter followers and cable news hits do not automatically convert into votes. The gap between online enthusiasm and ballot-box performance is real, measurable, and, at $10 million, expensive.

Ten million dollars buys a lot of yard signs. It doesn't buy a single precinct if the voters aren't buying what you're selling.

About Benjamin Clark

The Editors have spent decades in political analysis, bringing their expertise to Capitalism Institute. To learn more, read our About Us page.
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