Donald Trump Tops Biden In Latest RCP Poll of Polls

By Victor Winston, updated on September 17, 2023

Despite Democrats' best smear efforts, Trump is now leading Biden in the latest RealClearPolitics national poll average.

Former President Donald Trump has surpassed President Joe Biden in the RealClearPolitics poll that averages the most recent national polls.

Trump currently holds a slight lead with 44.8% support, compared to Biden's 44.4%.

This shift in polling is significant, especially when considering the 2020 election cycle. During that time, Trump did not lead Biden nationally for even a single day.

Trump's changing fortunes in the polls

However, the dynamics seem to have changed for the 2024 election cycle. Since early April, Trump has either been leading or closely trailing Biden.

Biden's largest lead over Trump this year in the poll of polls was a mere two points, which was short-lived. On the other hand, Trump has led Biden by as much as 2.5 points.

For context, during the 2020 election cycle, Biden maintained a lead of at least four points over Trump.

There were instances when Biden's lead over Trump reached double digits. On Election Day 2020, Biden led Trump by a national average of 7.2 points and reportedly won by 4.5 points.

Interestingly, in the numerous national polls conducted between February and Election Day 2020, Trump led Biden in just one poll and by a mere point. In contrast, for the 2024 cycle, Trump has surpassed Biden in five of the last 12 national polls.

Comparison with other potential GOP candidates

These polling results challenge the argument that Trump cannot win if he decides to run for reelection. The establishment GOP has been placing its hopes on Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida.

However, DeSantis trails Biden by a national average of 3.8 points. In the last 12 national polls, DeSantis hasn't led Biden even once. His best performance was a tie with Biden, Breitbart reported.

It's evident that, at least for now, Trump is in a stronger position than DeSantis to challenge Biden. Moreover, Trump's current standing is better than his position in 2020 against Biden.

It's also worth noting that Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 2.1 points in 2016 but still secured the presidency.

Trump's impressive voter turnout in 2020

Another significant point is that Trump garnered 74.2 million votes in 2020. This figure is seven million more than the previous record set by Barack Obama, who received 65.9 million votes in 2012.

Trump's 2020 vote count also surpassed the tallies of GOP candidates Mitt Romney in 2012 and John McCain in 2008 by 13.6 million and 14 million votes, respectively.

Considering these numbers, it's challenging to identify any other Republican who could outperform Obama's vote count by seven million, as Trump did.

The reasons for Trump's potential rematch with Biden are clear. Many believe that under Biden's leadership, various sectors, including foreign policy, energy, and the economy, have deteriorated.

While this is a matter of debate, the sentiment is strong among certain sections of the electorate.

Conclusion and reflections

As the political landscape evolves, it's evident that Trump remains a formidable force in American politics.

His recent surge in the polls, surpassing Biden, is a testament to his enduring appeal among a significant portion of the electorate.

  • Trump leads Biden in the latest RealClearPolitics national poll average.
  • During the 2020 election cycle, Trump did not lead Biden nationally on any day.
  • Trump's 2024 polling performance is notably better than his 2020 stats.
  • Gov. Ron DeSantis, another potential GOP candidate, trails Biden in recent polls.
  • Trump's 2020 vote count surpassed previous records, indicating his strong voter appeal.

We encourage our readers to share this article on Twitter and Facebook to foster informed discussions.

About Victor Winston

Victor is a freelance writer and researcher who focuses on national politics, geopolitics, and economics.

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