Recent polls show a concerning trend for President Biden's reelection hopes.
A recent survey by Democracy Corps reveals a significant drop in support among crucial voter demographics, potentially impacting Biden's chances against Donald Trump in the upcoming 2024 election.
The Democracy Corps survey, which involved 2,500 voters between November 5 and 11, 2023, indicates a noticeable shift in voter sentiment. Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg described the results as "grim," highlighting a decline in Biden's approval ratings across various groups.
This decline is particularly noticeable among traditionally Democratic-leaning demographics such as Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, the LGBTQ+ community, Gen Z, millennials, unmarried, and college-educated women. Trump, in contrast, seems to have gained ground in these areas.
The survey results point to only a narrow lead for Biden and Democrats on perceptions of autocracy avoidance and democracy protection, with a mere 2-point lead on the former and a 1-point lead on the latter. On securing democracy, Biden and Trump are tied.
Jim Kessler, a senior vice president at Third Way, comments on the situation. He notes Biden's loss of his 2020 "brand advantage" over the Democratic Party, which he attributes to issues with messaging, particularly on crime and immigration.
Political analysts are also weighing in on Biden's challenges. Harvard political scientist Ryan Enos believes that if the election were held today, Biden would likely lose, a sentiment that captures the urgency of the situation for the Democratic Party.
"None will challenge Biden; he must choose to step aside. If he did so, he would feel compelled to support Kamala Harris. But most Democrats, and probably Biden himself, rightly believe that she would do even worse than he is doing."
Rogers Smith, another political scientist, echoes these concerns. He highlights the dilemma within the Democratic Party, suggesting that Biden's visible infirmities are impacting his ability to reassure voters and project energy and vigor.
The polls also reveal that Trump and Republicans hold advantages in several key areas. These include opposing extremism, where they lead by 3 points, navigating beyond chaos with a 6-point lead, and an 8-point lead in protecting the constitution.
This shift in public opinion could signal a changing landscape in American politics, where traditional party alignments are being questioned, and new issues are taking center stage.
The results from Democracy Corps are causing ripples through the political community, with many experts reevaluating the strategies and messaging of both major parties.
