Debating the Next Democratic Nominee After Trump’s Victory

By Jesse Munn on
 November 29, 2024

Vice President Kamala Harris's electoral setback against President-elect Donald Trump sets the stage for an intriguing reshuffling of Democratic leadership.

According to The Hill, the Democratic Party is already contemplating potential candidates for the 2028 presidential race, with names ranging from seasoned politicians to rising stars emerging as possible contenders.

The political landscape presents a unique opportunity for Democrats, as Trump will be constitutionally barred from seeking another term. Vice President-elect JD Vance is positioned as the likely Republican frontrunner, while the Democratic field remains wide open with diverse perspectives on the party's future direction.

Harris and Newsom Lead Early Considerations

A Democratic strategist described the party's current state as uncertain, noting similarities to 2016 when the party struggled with direction and clarity about its goals.

Despite her recent loss, Vice President Harris retains considerable backing within the party. Her campaign experience and strong performance in recent polls, such as leading an Emerson poll this week, position her as a likely frontrunner. Supporters argue that her short-lived campaign demonstrated potential, even as she navigated challenges tied to Biden's political legacy.

California Governor Gavin Newsom emerges as another strong contender. His confrontational approach toward Trump and DeSantis has resonated with Democrats seeking assertive leadership. Newsom's executive experience and fundraising capability make him a formidable candidate, though California's historical absence from the presidency poses a potential challenge.

Rising Stars Shape Democratic Future

Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer represents a compelling option for the party. Her successful governance in a crucial swing state and previous consideration as Biden's running mate enhance her credentials. Whitmer's Fight Like Hell PAC continues to demonstrate strong fundraising capabilities.

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro's stock has risen despite Harris's loss in his state. His near-selection as Harris's running mate and solid approval ratings position him well, though national name recognition remains a challenge according to recent polls.

Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg maintains his status as a party favorite. At 42, his communication skills draw favorable comparisons to former President Obama, while his comfort in various media environments appeals to Democrats seeking to recapture working-class voters.

Next Generation Charts New Direction

Democratic ambitions extend to figures like Illinois Governor JB Pritzker, whose legislative achievements and recent formation of the Governors Safeguarding Democracy coalition demonstrate his national aspirations. His significant personal wealth could facilitate a robust campaign infrastructure.

New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, at 35, represents the party's younger generation. Her direct communication style and social media savvy appeal to younger voters, though some strategists express concern about her progressive image. As one Democratic strategist noted:

She and the 'squad' started pushing too hard, too fast. D.C. doesn't work that way. And our party doesn't work that way. We need to get back to the basics.

Race Toward Democratic Revival

The Democratic Party faces a critical juncture following Harris's defeat to Trump in the 2024 presidential election. The search for a 2028 nominee has begun early, with candidates ranging from established figures like Vice President Harris and Governor Newsom to emerging leaders like Ocasio-Cortez and Buttigieg.

The party's direction will largely depend on how it processes the lessons from 2024 while preparing for a contest against a likely Vance-led Republican ticket. With multiple governors, federal officials, and congressional leaders in contention, Democrats face crucial decisions about their messaging, leadership, and electoral strategy for 2028.

About Jesse Munn

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